Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.157838 0.184560 0.213925 0.248518 0.288085 0.331854 0.383861
2025-12-21 0.109884 0.144982 0.187794 0.243521 0.313771 0.398979 0.509704
2025-12-28 0.087010 0.125662 0.176594 0.247877 0.344189 0.468801 0.641038
2026-01-04 0.073351 0.114173 0.171482 0.256538 0.378002 0.543354 0.783160
2026-01-11 0.062509 0.104003 0.165607 0.261843 0.405996 0.610941 0.920495
2026-01-18 0.053483 0.094625 0.158919 0.264126 0.428612 0.671656 1.052142
2026-01-25 0.045903 0.086048 0.151856 0.264265 0.447044 0.726748 1.179007
2026-02-01 0.039162 0.077617 0.143610 0.261019 0.459108 0.772317 1.294152
2026-02-08 0.033479 0.070023 0.135550 0.256737 0.468446 0.813599 1.404920
2026-02-15 0.028005 0.061828 0.125197 0.246975 0.467121 0.836917 1.487825
2026-02-22 0.026353 0.060800 0.127671 0.260204 0.506424 0.929933 1.691467
2026-03-01 0.022573 0.054763 0.119818 0.253305 0.508984 0.960499 1.791788
2026-03-08 0.019178 0.049013 0.111863 0.245484 0.509477 0.988231 1.890814
2026-03-15 0.016473 0.044318 0.105406 0.239836 0.513491 1.022577 2.004299
2026-03-22 0.014964 0.042136 0.103925 0.244070 0.536888 1.093784 2.188858
2026-03-29 0.013949 0.040974 0.104493 0.252606 0.569504 1.184380 2.414946
2026-04-05 0.012810 0.039278 0.103605 0.257838 0.595747 1.264575 2.626686
2026-04-12 0.011611 0.037195 0.101510 0.260089 0.615857 1.334130 2.822473
2026-04-19 0.010436 0.034938 0.098659 0.260226 0.631328 1.395369 3.005749
2026-04-26 0.009231 0.032349 0.094604 0.257025 0.639119 1.441526 3.162057
2026-05-03 0.008129 0.029830 0.090351 0.252802 0.644136 1.482158 3.309638
2026-05-10 0.006944 0.026784 0.084230 0.243175 0.635807 1.494122 3.399357
2026-05-17 0.006758 0.026952 0.086917 0.256221 0.681471 1.623838 3.740229